RE: Early Season Team and Player Predictions

We are coming to the final month of the season and I thought it would be a good time to refer to my April 12th post on player predictions.  Was I right or was I wrong?  Here is how I see it, but you be the judge.×409.jpgarchives/2008/04/early_season_team_and_player_p.html

I have to admit that I hopped on the banwagon with some players that had great early starts.


Firstly, I said that Mark Reynolds (who had a great start) would hit 35-40 homers this season and be a solid player for the NL leader Diamondbacks.  Well Reynolds has been okay, but less than amazing.  He might hit 30 homers this year, but he is definately not carrying a struggling Diamondbacks team.  Reynolds also is hitting for a very low average, he doesn’t seem to be a very complete hitter.  An all or nothing homerun guy, like Rob Deer or Dave Parker if you can remember those old names.


Daisuke Matsuzaka and Johnaton Papelbon.  Daisuke is 15-2 with an ERA under 3.00.  He hasn’t been the strikeout machine I predicted him to be, but he has been very solid for a good Red Sox team.  A good September and he can still conceivably win Cy Young. 

Papelbon has the lowest WHIP of all closers, is 3rd in the AL in Saves and 2nd in strikeouts among closers in the AL.  He is dominant and has been dominant.


J.D. Drew.  Drew has put up solid numbers, but nothing above his career averages.  He is basically doing what you’d expect him to do, which is not bad at all. 


The Red Sox are still in playoff contention, but they are not as dominant as I thought they’d be.  Who would have predicted Tampa Bay this year, come on?  I should have mentioned Dusin Pedroia and Kevin Youkilus because they are the ones doing the best in Boston.


Cantu.jpgI called it on Jorge Cantu being a sleeper.  How big has this guy been with the Marlins?  On pace for 30 homers, driving in runs and hitting for a respectable average.  Watching him in Tampa Bay playing against the Jays, I knew that he still had lots left in the tank.  I called it! Cantu is a bigtime fantasy sleeper this season.


Baltimore, Kansas City and Oakland were all in first place in their divisions on April 12th.  I knew the Orioles and Royals were not for real, but I thought that Oakland would have a chance to contend with their young pitchers.  I was wrong, their young starters have been less than spectacular and they traded away Harden, which basically was the white flag on their season.


Like many, I liked the Tigers in the central.  They have disappointed, they looked like they would drive in a billion runs this season, but that is impossible.  SI had them winning the World Series, come on give me some leeway here!  Leeway I tell ya!


I was a believer in the White Sox this year, and in the post I mention “look for them to do good things.”  They have a solid ballclub and are contending for the Wild Card, if not he division.


Dye.jpgI said Jermaine Dye would be a key hitter for the White Sox and he is.  On pace for 40 homers, 100 plus RBI’s and hitting .298.  This guy can flat out hit and he is looking like the Jermaine Dye of 2 years ago.  Swish, 2 points for me!!


Bobby Crosby.  I liked this guy when he won Rookie of the Year in 2004.  I thought that he would comeback with an injury free season and do well.  I was wrong he is hitting .248, 7 homers, and 6 stolen bases.  This guy was a one year wonder.  Sorry to anyone that was unfortuate enough to take my advice here.

In the World Series I had the Diamondbacks versus the Red Sox.  Still could happen, I guess, we will see.

So there is a recap of my predictions.  I’m a little disappointed in myself, my picks were not that great.  There were a couple good ones here and there, but I was definately not spot on.    




One comment

  1. jimmy27nyy

    Hey Jeremy,

    Well, it was not a good three-game series for the Yankees !!! … They needed to sweep the Blue Jays, but the result was a disaster for the Yanks … Losing two out of three put the Yankees (67-60) in basically a tie with the Jays (66-61) for third place in the AL EAST … Dr. Halladay was awesome in the Blue Jays 14-3 win … The drop on his breaking pitches is unbelievable … Those curve balls are beautiful to watch, but not to hit … His only real bad pitch was on Matsui’s field goal ,[oh, not football season yet], three-run homerun!!! … And, Sir Sid, just didn’t have anythng last night … For the Yankees, its now onto Baltimore to play three games, and then a big three-game series vs. the Red Sox next week at Yankee Stadium … By the end of the Red Sox series, we all will have a good idea if the Yankees have any chance of making the playoffs this year!!! … And, how about the Tampa Bay Rays? … Well, Jeremy, like you said in your predictions, “who would have predicted Tampa Bay this year” … We will see how the Rays handle the pressure down the stretch, but I still hold out hope that the Yankees will somehow make it into the playofs this year !!! … Jimmy [27NYY] …

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